What IPEDS Fall 2024 Data Says About Enrollment and Online Learning

What IPEDS Fall 2024 Data Says About Enrollment and Online Learning

What IPEDS Fall 2024 Data Says About Enrollment and Online Learning

Why it matters:

IPEDS is the most reliable national snapshot of higher education enrollment. Unlike survey-based estimates, it is reported by institutions tied to Title IV, consistent over time, and detailed enough to analyze market structure and trends.

The big picture:

Phil Hill says the Fall 2024 IPEDS release confirms modest enrollment growth, but at a lower rate than earlier estimates suggested. It also reinforces that distance education is no longer a side channel, it is a core part of how higher education operates in the US.

What stands out:

  • Total enrollment growth looks positive, but smaller than earlier survey estimates (2.7% vs. 4.4%).
  • A meaningful share of community college growth appears tied to dual enrollment, which changes the story behind the increase.
  • Distance education remains elevated above pre-COVID trends and is now deeply embedded in the system.

Bottom line:

IPEDS confirms that online education is durable and structurally important. The next strategic advantage comes from understanding which market you are actually in, and building for learner value in an increasingly competitive environment.

How AI is Changing Public Comment Analysis

How AI is Changing Public Comment Analysis

How AI is Changing Public Comment Analysis

Why it matters:

Public comments play a real role in shaping federal regulations, but the volume and complexity of those comments make them difficult for institutions to engage with effectively. Thousands of submissions can overwhelm even experienced policy teams.

The big picture:

AI is changing what is possible. By analyzing large sets of public comments at once, institutions can identify patterns, stakeholder priorities, and direct links between comments and changes in proposed regulations. What once took weeks of manual review can now be done in hours.

What stands out:

Kelly Karki of Purdue Global describes how AI turns public comments from an overwhelming obligation into a strategic tool. Instead of reading submissions one by one, AI can surface a small number of core concerns and show how those concerns align with regulatory changes.

Bottom line:

AI does not replace judgment or expertise, but it levels the playing field. It allows more institutions to engage meaningfully in the regulatory process and to see clearly how public input can shape policy.

Rethinking Rigor in a System Built on Barriers

Rethinking Rigor in a System Built on Barriers

Rethinking Rigor in a System Built on Barriers

Why it matters:

Higher education often treats difficulty as evidence of rigor. Over time, that has led institutions to defend complexity and friction, even when those obstacles do little to improve learning or student outcomes.

The big picture:

Making college easier to navigate does not mean making it academically weaker. It means removing administrative and structural barriers so students can spend more time learning and less time trying to decipher the system. When programs are designed around outcomes rather than seat time, students progress more efficiently while still meeting high expectations.

What they’re saying:

Students do not arrive as blank slates. They bring prior learning from work, life, and earlier education. Institutions serve students best when they help learners demonstrate what they already know, identify genuine gaps, and move forward with purpose, instead of forcing repetition that adds cost and time without adding value.

What to watch:

Technology, particularly AI, is accelerating this shift. Used thoughtfully, it can support personalized feedback, adaptive learning, and academic support at a scale higher education has historically struggled to achieve. The opportunity is not automation for its own sake, but better learning supported by clearer signals of progress and mastery.

Bottom line:

Rigor is defined by results, not by how hard a system is to navigate. The future of higher education depends on clearing pathways for students while holding firm to meaningful academic standards.

Measuring What Students Can Actually Do

Measuring What Students Can Actually Do

Measuring What Students Can Actually Do

The big idea:

Technology, especially AI, is making assessment easier, more authentic, and more scalable for adult learners by shifting the focus from seat time to demonstrated skills.

Why it matters:

Assessment is where most learning friction lives. When done poorly, it pushes faculty back to multiple-choice tests that fail to show what students can actually do.

What’s changing:

  • Performance-based assessment at scale: Technology reduces scheduling, scoring, and evidence-capture burdens.
  • AI as a faculty amplifier: Generative AI helps draft rubrics, simulations, and scenarios, freeing faculty to focus on judgment and feedback.
  • Simulations over tests: Learners demonstrate skills in real-world scenarios, not artificial exam conditions.
  • Beyond the transcript: Digital credentials and learning records make competencies portable and employer-relevant.

Bottom line:

Making higher education easier is not about lowering rigor. It is about measuring what matters.

How AI Turned Public Comments Into Policy Insight

How AI Turned Public Comments Into Policy Insight

How AI Turned Public Comments Into Policy Insight

Why it matters:

Public comment processes shape federal policy, but volume has made them hard to use. AI is changing that.

What happened:

Analyst Phil Hill used AI tools to analyze all 1,124 public comments submitted to the Department of Education ahead of negotiated rulemaking. Work that once took months now takes hours.

What he found:

  • Workforce Pell is harder than headlines suggest. The real risk is not runaway programs. It is guardrails so tight they may limit scale and impact.
  • Implementation is the battleground. Non-term programs, earnings measures, placement rates, and stackable credentials introduce complexity the aid system has not handled before.
  • Public comments contain real expertise. Financial aid leaders and practitioners surfaced practical insights that often get lost.

The bigger takeaway:

AI does not replace public input. It makes it usable. Thousands of fragmented comments become actionable intelligence for policymakers and negotiators.

What’s next:

Hill plans to reuse this AI-driven approach to evaluate upcoming rulemaking outcomes and to assess whether final regulations respond to what the public actually said.

Bottom line:

AI can transform public comments from a box-checking exercise into a learning engine for smarter, student-centered policy.

What Cengage Work Is Watching on Workforce Pell

What Cengage Work Is Watching on Workforce Pell

What Cengage Work Is Watching on Workforce Pell

We spoke with Rya Conrad-Bradshaw of Cengage Work to understand how their organization is approaching Workforce Pell as federal rulemaking begins. Her comments reflect Cengage Work’s perspective and add to the range of viewpoints emerging across the workforce and higher education ecosystem.

Why it matters

Workforce Pell will influence how institutions deliver short, job-aligned programs for working learners. Presidents Forum members operate across states, modalities, and workforce sectors, making it important to track how different organizations are interpreting the policy environment.

Key points from the conversation

  • Non-credit programs: Cengage Work highlighted the need to include non-credit workforce programs and to create clear pathways that connect non-credit learning to credit-bearing credentials.
  • Partnership models: Many institutions rely on external partners for technical or specialized workforce training. Cengage Work is focused on how these partnerships will be defined and regulated under Workforce Pell.
  • State implementation: With governors and state workforce boards involved, Cengage Work expects variation across states—a key factor for institutions serving multi-state or online student populations.
  • Outcomes: For short-term programs, Cengage Work pointed to completion, job placement, and earnings as central measures, acknowledging that shorter programs operate on different timelines than traditional degrees.

Looking ahead

Presidents Forum will continue elevating diverse perspectives to support member awareness as Workforce Pell moves through rulemaking and toward implementation.